Toward the year 2000 : work in progress /
"About this title: In 1965, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences initiated the Commission on the Year 2000, the forerunner of what became the field of futurism. The Commission did not believe that one could "predict" the future, but sought instead to identify structural changes i...
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| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Boston,
Houghton Mifflin Co.,
1968.
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| Series: | Daedalus library ;
v. 11. |
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Table of Contents:
- Preface / Stephen R. Graubard
- The year 200: the trajectory of an idea / Daniel Bell
- Working session one. Preliminary memorandum to commission from the chairman
- Baselines for the future
- Alternative futures
- Centralization and decentralization
- The need for models
- A summary by the chairman
- Some specific problems. The next thirty-three years: a framework for speculation / Herman Kahn and Anthony J. Wiener
- Can social predictions be evaluated? / Fred Charles Ikle
- Forecasting and technological forecasting / Donald A. Schon
- Information, rationality and free choice in a future democratic society / Martin Shubik
- Planning and predicting: or what to do when you don't know the names of the variables / Leonard J. Duhl
- Modernizing urban development / Harvey S. Perloff
- The relationship of federal to local authorities / Daniel P. Moynihan
- The need for a new political theory / Lawrence K. Frank
- University cities in the year 200 / Harold Orlans
- Biological man and the year 2000 / Ernst Mayr
- Deliberate efforts to control human behavior and modify personality / Gardner C. Quarton
- Religion, myticism and the institutional church / Krister Stendahl
- Memorandum on youth / Erik H. Erikson
- The life cycle and its variation: the division of roles / Margaret Mead
- The problems of privacy in the year 2000 / Harry Kalven, Jr.
- Some psychological perspectives on the year 2000 / George A. Miller
- Notes on meritocracy / David Riesman
- Violence / James Q. Wilson
- Communication / John R. Pierce
- Thinking about the future of international society / Eugene V. Rostow
- Political development and the decline of the American system of world order / Samuel P. Huntington
- The international system in the next half century / Ithiel De Sola Pool
- Working session two. Coda: work in further progress / Daniel Bell.